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Posted: August 19th, 2022
Principles of Supply Chain Management
The work must be executed in an Excel® file
Principles of Supply Chain Management
Downside Set 1
1. Primarily based on the data proven beneath, develop forecasts for April to October utilizing:
(a) A Three-period weighted transferring common mannequin (w1 = zero.5, w2 = zero.Three, and w3 = zero.2).
(b) An exponential smoothing mannequin with α = zero.35. Assume the forecast for March was 950.
Month Precise Demand
Jan 1050
Feb 975
Mar 1000
Apr 870
Could 970
Jun 1220
Jul 1170
Aug 1150
Sep 1235
Oct 1275
2. Primarily based on the data proven beneath, calculate MAD, MSE and monitoring sign.
Week Precise Demand Forecast
1 750 770
2 690 730
Three 820 710
four 850 790
5 870 840
6 780 850
7 915 890
eight 950 920
Three. For the data given, rank the purchasers in phrases of buyer lifetime worth.
Avg. Annual Gross sales Avg. Revenue Margin Anticipated Lifetime
Buyer 1: $Three,450 17 % eight years
Buyer 2: $2,000 13 % 6 years
Buyer Three: $1,400 32 % 10 years
Use a reduction price of 6 % and deal with the common gross sales figures as annuities. Ought to any of these prospects be fired?
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